🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Geopolitics80 days left

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$1.03M
13,187 trades
Smart Whales
190
of 1,316 traders

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

5 MARKETS · $1.17M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

86 YESvs104 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 24 YES vs 62 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$85+8 new NO$432
$19 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $295.0K is directional: YES $148.6K·NO $146.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$165.0K
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$104.3K(-63.2%)
Whales
86
E
elPolloLoco🥇
Entry 51¢·277,396.1 shares
$-94893INV $140.6K · WR 72.5%
G
GoriIIa🥈
Entry 66¢·6,000 shares
$-3030INV $4.0K · WR 71.8%
L
Lonely-Infection🥉
Entry 54¢·4,990.1 shares
$-1851INV $2.7K · WR 82.9%
4
0x475691cd...
Entry 52¢·3,628.4 shares
$-1301INV $1.9K · WR 66.7%
B
bipbipbop
Entry 54¢·1,911.2 shares
$-717INV $1.0K · WR 72.6%
P
PavlikKul
Entry 48¢·2,088.2 shares
$-655INV $1000 · WR 62.5%
K
KiernanMeisterProven
Entry 23¢·4,309.4 shares
$-320INV $988 · WR 63.4%
M
mrkinetiq
Entry 40¢·2,468 shares
$-603INV $986 · WR 58.4%
K
KrdRL
Entry 54¢·856.7 shares
$-321INV $462 · WR 84.1%
R
richmond1
Entry 46¢·800 shares
$-238INV $370 · WR 59.4%
Showing top 10 of 86

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 631ms
Smart money 45% YES: Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka…