DaveFromCave · Polymarket wallet 0xf3c0…90f5

+$59 lifetime P&L · 55.6% win rate · 81 resolved markets · 0xf3c02bc6439b10e6636665fbe8a52d30773390f5

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Wallet snapshot

DaveFromCave has made 370 trades on Polymarket across 90 markets, $10K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (34%) and politics (11%). On 81 resolved markets the win rate is 55.6%, lifetime P&L +$59. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Yes · $100 · 15¢ → 22¢
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?Yes · $69 · 37¢ → 43¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · $15 · 54¢ → 8¢
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?No · $1 · 1¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 November 2-8?No · +$0 · Nov 9, 2026
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?No · +$25 · Nov 7, 2026
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$1 · Nov 4, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No · +$10 · Nov 3, 2026
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$30 · Oct 28, 2026
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$25 · Oct 1, 2026
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?Yes · +$2 · Sep 22, 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No · +$250 · Sep 1, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · +$1 · Aug 22, 2026
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes · +$5 · Apr 9, 2026

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