SlenderMan · Polymarket wallet 0xab19…4876

Wallet snapshot

SlenderMan has made 63,538 trades on Polymarket across 459 markets, $43M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (62%) and sports (10%). On 428 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L -$172K. It holds 24 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $112K · 83¢ → 93¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $92K · 87¢ → 95¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No · $83K · 68¢ → 90¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No · $72K · 86¢ → 93¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No · $58K · 96¢ → 99¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?No · $26K · 74¢ → 76¢
• Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No · $21K · 84¢ → 92¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No · $16K · 47¢ → 93¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes · $11K · 91¢ → 94¢
• Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?No · $9,645 · 92¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Madison Huang be the next CEO of NVIDIA?Yes · -$364 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?No · +$619 · Nov 9, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · +$2,522 · Nov 4, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo · -$44 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$4,200 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · +$13K · Nov 4, 2026
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

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