Geopolitics80 days left

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$58.3K
1,378 trades
Smart Whales
68
of 278 traders

Smart Money Consensus

33 YESvs35 NO
49%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 43% YES by dollars · 23 YES vs 24 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$39+4 new NO$968
$25 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $13.9K is directional: YES $6.0K·NO $7.9K

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)
Smart money 49% YES: Russia capture Mala Tokmachka…