Geopolitics81 days left

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$531.3K
4,540 trades
Smart Whales
149
of 751 traders · 4 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

37 YESvs116 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 96 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$3.7K+46 new NO$14.1K
$357 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$793 of $86.3K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $7.6K·NO $77.9K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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