rasvp · Polymarket wallet 0x6a60…ea7d

Wallet snapshot

rasvp has made 1,716 trades on Polymarket across 638 markets, $8,790 in volume. Most of it is in sports (15%) and crypto (13%). On 551 resolved markets the win rate is 50.6%, lifetime P&L -$438. It holds 42 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?". Last trade: Nov 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes · $15 · 47¢ → 67¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes · $14 · 57¢ → 84¢
• Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No · $10 · 62¢ → 66¢
• Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes · $9 · 52¢ → 53¢
• Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?No · $9 · 70¢ → 92¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $9 · 83¢ → 92¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?No · $9 · 68¢ → 42¢
• Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes · $8 · 62¢ → 62¢
• Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No · $8 · 75¢ → 80¢
• SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?No · $7 · 81¢ → 76¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 11?No · -$0 · Nov 11, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes · -$2 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C on November 8?Yes · +$1 · Nov 8, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No · +$1 · Nov 8, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 5?No · +$0 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?Yes · +$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.