Geopolitics19 days left

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$1.24M
3,964 trades
Smart Whales
216
of 674 traders · 4 on both sides

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

2 MARKETS · $2.88M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

78 YESvs142 NO
36%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 31 YES vs 97 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$385+14 new NO$8.8K
$646 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$107 of $420.9K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $29.1K·NO $391.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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