Jin-2026 · Polymarket wallet 0x4b30…4b79

+$2,399 lifetime P&L · 71.6% win rate · 74 resolved markets · 0x4b303fb5cb800db6168a6851d62dcbfdf01d4b79

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Wallet snapshot

Jin-2026 has made 988 trades on Polymarket across 100 markets, $209K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (47%) and sports (23%). On 74 resolved markets the win rate is 71.6%, lifetime P&L +$2,399. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No · $3,420 · 93¢ → 96¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No · $3,265 · 94¢ → 94¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No · $1,759 · 78¢ → 88¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $1,701 · 85¢ → 95¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?No · $1,416 · 90¢ → 89¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No · $1,198 · 94¢ → 93¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No · $1,021 · 83¢ → 83¢
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No · $254 · 92¢ → 85¢
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No · $185 · 94¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · -$3 · Oct 16, 2026
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes · -$2 · Oct 16, 2026
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No · -$12 · Oct 16, 2026
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No · -$5 · Oct 16, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · +$134 · Oct 16, 2026
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$32 · Oct 14, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?

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