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Politics757 days left

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$15.66M
174,803 trades
Smart Whales
892
of 28,863 traders · 7 on both sides

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

46 MARKETS · $682.84M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

447 YESvs452 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 82 YES vs 61 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$267+6 new NO$1.6K
$97 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$68 of $23.8K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $75 is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $22.2K·NO $1.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$86.5K
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.7K(+5.5%)
Whales
447
P
PollsR4Dummies🥇
Entry 3¢·182,878.9 shares
$-1474INV $6.0K · WR 60.0%
J
J-E-R🥈
Entry 3¢·146,541.7 shares
$-361INV $4.0K · WR 58.8%
1
11122🥉
Entry 2¢·157,862.7 shares
+$168INV $3.8K · WR 60.6%
P
Pog
Entry 3¢·109,231.3 shares
$-124INV $2.9K · WR 72.0%
O
Outsmarter
Entry 2¢·58,790.6 shares
+$13INV $1.5K · WR 72.9%
B
Brokie
Entry 0¢·304,000 shares
+$6403INV $1.2K · WR 59.4%
K
KiernanMeisterProven
Entry 2¢·49,999.9 shares
+$326INV $924 · WR 63.4%
E
eagle-cooledhedged
Entry 3¢·18,349.8 shares·also $17.8K on NO
$-64INV $514 · WR 64.6%
M
madd1s0n
Entry 3¢·16,551.2 shares
$-62INV $475 · WR 73.3%
A
aneroid.coolanthedged
Entry 3¢·11,709.5 shares·also $9.7K on NO
$-112INV $399 · WR 82.9%
Showing top 10 of 447

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 50% YES: Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican…