Politics734 days left
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$16.47M
186,669 trades
Smart Whales
2761
of 33,723 traders · 213 on both sides
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
50 MARKETS · $725.35M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1605 YESvs1369 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 553 YES vs 205 NO taking a side · 207 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 52%· net of hedges
+110 new YES$20.4K+78 new NO$19.2K
$12.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 29 buyers — left out of momentum
15 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 73% of the money is not a bet
$1.18M of $1.62M is held equally on both sides by 204 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.2K is hedged across different prices by 9 wallets. True directional: YES $424.2K·NO $18.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.19M
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$392.3K(-32.9%)
Whales
1,605
B
Brokie🥇
Entry 49¢·331,697.9 shares
Invested
$161.3K
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-57363
$-57363INV $161.3K · WR 59.3%
R
Ronaldo2100🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·296,026 shares·also $148.0K on NO
Invested
$148.0K
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-55209
$-55209INV $148.0K · WR 66.1%
H
holandik🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·274,446 shares·also $137.2K on NO
Invested
$137.2K
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-51184
$-51184INV $137.2K · WR 60.9%
C
Cadabra
Entry 54¢·110,694.1 shares
Invested
$60.3K
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-25553
$-25553INV $60.3K · WR 68.4%
B
baseddboth sides
Entry 50¢·120,000 shares·also $60.0K on NO
Invested
$60.0K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-22380
$-22380INV $60.0K · WR 77.6%
P
PantheraUncia
Entry 36¢·137,053.5 shares
Invested
$49.8K
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-6841
$-6841INV $49.8K · WR 57.5%
A
AgricultureSecretaryboth sides
Entry 50¢·88,000 shares·also $44.0K on NO
Invested
$44.0K
Win Rate
90.6%
Position P&L
$-16412
$-16412INV $44.0K · WR 90.6%
S
sts22both sides
Entry 50¢·77,071 shares·also $38.5K on NO
Invested
$38.5K
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
$-14374
$-14374INV $38.5K · WR 75.5%
W
wish-both sides
Entry 50¢·60,000 shares·also $30.0K on NO
Invested
$30.0K
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
$-11190
$-11190INV $30.0K · WR 84.2%
M
moonlight2020both sides
Entry 50¢·45,000 shares·also $22.5K on NO
Invested
$22.5K
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-8393
$-8393INV $22.5K · WR 66.9%
Showing top 10 of 1,605
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.16M
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$459.3K(+39.5%)
Whales
1,369
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA🥇
Entry 42¢·440,710.8 shares
Invested
$185.5K
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$117441
+$117441INV $185.5K · WR 89.0%
R
Ronaldo2100🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·296,026 shares·also $148.0K on YES
Invested
$148.0K
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$55209
+$55209INV $148.0K · WR 66.1%
H
holandik🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·274,446 shares·also $137.2K on YES
Invested
$137.2K
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$51184
+$51184INV $137.2K · WR 60.9%
P
petanimal
Entry 54¢·124,468 shares
Invested
$66.7K
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$18888
+$18888INV $66.7K · WR 80.8%
B
baseddboth sides
Entry 50¢·120,000 shares·also $60.0K on YES
Invested
$60.0K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$22380
+$22380INV $60.0K · WR 77.6%
A
AgricultureSecretaryboth sides
Entry 50¢·88,000 shares·also $44.0K on YES
Invested
$44.0K
Win Rate
90.6%
Position P&L
+$16412
+$16412INV $44.0K · WR 90.6%
J
J-E-R
Entry 41¢·106,697.6 shares
Invested
$43.3K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$30049
+$30049INV $43.3K · WR 58.5%
S
sts22both sides
Entry 50¢·77,071 shares·also $38.5K on YES
Invested
$38.5K
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
+$14374
+$14374INV $38.5K · WR 75.5%
W
wish-both sides
Entry 50¢·60,000 shares·also $30.0K on YES
Invested
$30.0K
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
+$11190
+$11190INV $30.0K · WR 84.2%
B
bifurcatio
Entry 48¢·48,745.4 shares
Invested
$23.6K
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$9917
+$9917INV $23.6K · WR 73.8%
Showing top 10 of 1,369
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