Politics778 days left
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$15.67M
183,506 trades
Smart Whales
2840
of 33,237 traders · 238 on both sides
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
46 MARKETS · $678.67M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1680 YESvs1398 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 583 YES vs 198 NO taking a side · 230 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 85%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$4.2K+6 new NO$1.3K
$1.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 87% of the money is not a bet
$3.11M of $3.59M is held equally on both sides by 227 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.9K is hedged across different prices by 11 wallets. True directional: YES $450.1K·NO $26.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.15M
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$95.9K(+4.5%)
Whales
1,680
D
debased🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·588,889 shares·also $294.4K on NO
Invested
$294.4K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$7361
+$7361INV $294.4K · WR 65.9%
P
poptree🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·510,000 shares·also $255.0K on NO
Invested
$255.0K
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$6375
+$6375INV $255.0K · WR 73.9%
B
Brokie🥉
Entry 49¢·331,697.9 shares
Invested
$161.3K
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$8645
+$8645INV $161.3K · WR 59.3%
H
holandikboth sides
Entry 50¢·274,446 shares·also $137.2K on NO
Invested
$137.2K
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$3431
+$3431INV $137.2K · WR 60.9%
M
mcduckboth sides
Entry 50¢·274,092.6 shares·also $137.0K on NO
Invested
$137.0K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$3426
+$3426INV $137.0K · WR 75.9%
R
Ronaldo2100both sides
Entry 50¢·261,185 shares·also $130.6K on NO
Invested
$130.6K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$3265
+$3265INV $130.6K · WR 65.9%
Y
yingxerboth sides
Entry 50¢·250,000 shares·also $125.0K on NO
Invested
$125.0K
Win Rate
96.2%
Position P&L
+$3125
+$3125INV $125.0K · WR 96.2%
A
Aeglosboth sides
Entry 50¢·172,500 shares·also $86.3K on NO
Invested
$86.3K
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$2156
+$2156INV $86.3K · WR 85.0%
C
Cadabra
Entry 54¢·110,694.1 shares
Invested
$60.3K
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-3525
$-3525INV $60.3K · WR 68.4%
B
baseddboth sides
Entry 50¢·120,000 shares·also $60.0K on NO
Invested
$60.0K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$1515
+$1515INV $60.0K · WR 77.3%
Showing top 10 of 1,680
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.09M
Avg Win Rate
74.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.0K(+0.3%)
Whales
1,398
D
debased🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·588,889 shares·also $294.4K on YES
Invested
$294.4K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-7361
$-7361INV $294.4K · WR 65.9%
P
poptree🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·510,000 shares·also $255.0K on YES
Invested
$255.0K
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-6375
$-6375INV $255.0K · WR 73.9%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA🥉
Entry 42¢·440,710.8 shares
Invested
$185.5K
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$29299
+$29299INV $185.5K · WR 88.3%
H
holandikboth sides
Entry 50¢·274,446 shares·also $137.2K on YES
Invested
$137.2K
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-3431
$-3431INV $137.2K · WR 60.9%
M
mcduckboth sides
Entry 50¢·274,092.6 shares·also $137.0K on YES
Invested
$137.0K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-3426
$-3426INV $137.0K · WR 75.9%
R
Ronaldo2100both sides
Entry 50¢·261,185 shares·also $130.6K on YES
Invested
$130.6K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-3265
$-3265INV $130.6K · WR 65.9%
Y
yingxerboth sides
Entry 50¢·250,000 shares·also $125.0K on YES
Invested
$125.0K
Win Rate
96.2%
Position P&L
$-3125
$-3125INV $125.0K · WR 96.2%
A
Aeglosboth sides
Entry 50¢·172,500 shares·also $86.3K on YES
Invested
$86.3K
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-2156
$-2156INV $86.3K · WR 85.0%
P
petanimal
Entry 54¢·124,468 shares
Invested
$66.7K
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
$-6006
$-6006INV $66.7K · WR 80.7%
B
baseddboth sides
Entry 50¢·120,000 shares·also $60.0K on YES
Invested
$60.0K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-1500
$-1500INV $60.0K · WR 77.3%
Showing top 10 of 1,398
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