basedd · Polymarket wallet 0x8c2f…1a88

Wallet snapshot

basedd has made 3,191 trades on Polymarket across 161 markets, $5.9M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (42%) and politics (22%). On 152 resolved markets the win rate is 77.6%, lifetime P&L +$24K. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Aug 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $82K · 50¢ → 69¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $38K · 50¢ → 31¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $5,184 · 50¢ → 83¢
• New pandemic in 2026?No · $2,600 · 88¢ → 98¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $1,066 · 50¢ → 17¢
• Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No · $967 · 74¢ → 87¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No · $882 · 71¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes · -$1,241 · Aug 2, 2026
• Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?No · -$125 · Aug 1, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes · -$39 · Jul 23, 2026
• Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes · -$0 · Jul 23, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes · +$1,321 · Jul 23, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No · -$1,107 · Jul 23, 2026
• Iran closes its airspace by May 7?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.