Politics778 days left
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$10.66M
125,414 trades
Smart Whales
1733
of 21,275 traders · 18 on both sides
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
46 MARKETS · $678.72M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
924 YESvs827 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 301 YES vs 126 NO taking a side · 15 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+32 new YES$2.4K+24 new NO$8.0K
$2.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 67% of the money is not a bet
$282.8K of $423.0K is held equally on both sides by 14 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $576 is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $122.3K·NO $17.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$307.3K
Avg Win Rate
63.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$80.4K(-26.2%)
Whales
924
M
mombil🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·270,000 shares·also $135.0K on NO
Invested
$135.0K
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-93015
$-93015INV $135.0K · WR 60.5%
P
Pog🥈
Entry 22¢·123,744.3 shares
Invested
$27.2K
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-7953
$-7953INV $27.2K · WR 72.0%
C
cashy🥉
Entry 27¢·50,000 shares
Invested
$13.4K
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
$-5675
$-5675INV $13.4K · WR 73.0%
P
PollsR4Dummies
Entry 12¢·71,402.1 shares
Invested
$8.6K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$2535
+$2535INV $8.6K · WR 60.0%
V
Vilgefortz
Entry 22¢·37,000 shares
Invested
$8.0K
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-2205
$-2205INV $8.0K · WR 74.9%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 20¢·31,800.8 shares
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-1416
$-1416INV $6.4K · WR 56.0%
1
11122
Entry 20¢·27,855.7 shares
Invested
$5.6K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-1267
$-1267INV $5.6K · WR 60.6%
T
tj69both sides
Entry 50¢·10,000 shares·also $5.0K on NO
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-3445
$-3445INV $5.0K · WR 70.5%
C
Cherut
Entry 27¢·18,650.7 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-2095
$-2095INV $5.0K · WR 61.0%
T
truthteller
Entry 20¢·23,716.7 shares
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-1058
$-1058INV $4.7K · WR 57.8%
Showing top 10 of 924
NO Team
Total Invested
$500.4K
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$543.1K(+108.5%)
Whales
827
M
mombil🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·270,000 shares·also $135.0K on YES
Invested
$135.0K
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$93015
+$93015INV $135.0K · WR 60.5%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA🥈
Entry 28¢·440,672.6 shares
Invested
$122.6K
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$249570
+$249570INV $122.6K · WR 88.3%
J
J-E-R🥉
Entry 59¢·119,505.7 shares
Invested
$70.5K
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$30394
+$30394INV $70.5K · WR 56.1%
P
petanimal
Entry 14¢·120,640.7 shares
Invested
$17.5K
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$84409
+$84409INV $17.5K · WR 80.7%
I
ImJustKenhedged
Entry 93¢·18,145.9 shares·also $1.3K on YES
Invested
$16.8K
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-1466
$-1466INV $16.8K · WR 61.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 92¢·13,570.8 shares·also $2.3K on YES
Invested
$12.5K
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-1046
$-1046INV $12.5K · WR 58.1%
I
InterestingUser
Entry 21¢·50,000 shares
Invested
$10.7K
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$31554
+$31554INV $10.7K · WR 64.3%
W
WongKimArk
Entry 72¢·9,439.8 shares
Invested
$6.8K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$1213
+$1213INV $6.8K · WR 58.5%
R
rdba
Entry 94¢·6,039 shares
Invested
$5.6K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-550
$-550INV $5.6K · WR 75.2%
T
tj69both sides
Entry 50¢·10,000 shares·also $5.0K on YES
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$3445
+$3445INV $5.0K · WR 70.5%
Showing top 10 of 827
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