Politics734 days left
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$11.30M
128,507 trades
Smart Whales
1675
of 21,936 traders · 15 on both sides
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
50 MARKETS · $726.95M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
885 YESvs805 NO
52%48%
52% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars · 287 YES vs 130 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 81%· net of hedges
+101 new YES$24.3K+32 new NO$6.7K
$2.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 14 buyers — left out of momentum
15 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 61% of the money is not a bet
$189.6K of $449.5K is held equally on both sides by 10 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $84.7K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $159.4K·NO $15.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$348.2K
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$29.3K(-8.4%)
Whales
885
J
Jsram🥇hedged
Entry 22¢·367,407.8 shares·also $42.3K on NO
Invested
$80.8K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-11138
$-11138INV $80.8K · WR 55.3%
H
HolyMoses7🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·147,000 shares·also $73.5K on NO
Invested
$73.5K
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-45643
$-45643INV $73.5K · WR 77.8%
V
Vilgefortz🥉
Entry 46¢·37,000 shares
Invested
$17.2K
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-10149
$-10149INV $17.2K · WR 75.4%
R
ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARDboth sides
Entry 50¢·31,900 shares·also $15.9K on NO
Invested
$15.9K
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-9905
$-9905INV $15.9K · WR 60.9%
I
iraa3
Entry 32¢·43,039.1 shares
Invested
$13.8K
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
$-5635
$-5635INV $13.8K · WR 83.7%
C
cashy◆Proven
Entry 27¢·50,000 shares
Invested
$13.4K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-3975
$-3975INV $13.4K · WR 71.4%
P
PantheraUncia
Entry 19¢·63,475.2 shares
Invested
$11.8K
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$269
+$269INV $11.8K · WR 57.5%
P
PollsR4Dummies
Entry 12¢·71,402.1 shares
Invested
$8.6K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$4963
+$4963INV $8.6K · WR 60.0%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 19¢·39,072.9 shares
Invested
$7.4K
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $7.4K · WR 55.9%
1
11122
Entry 19¢·37,975.7 shares
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $7.3K · WR 60.6%
Showing top 10 of 885
NO Team
Total Invested
$437.4K
Avg Win Rate
75.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$452.1K(+103.4%)
Whales
805
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA🥇
Entry 28¢·440,672.6 shares
Invested
$122.6K
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$234147
+$234147INV $122.6K · WR 89.0%
H
HolyMoses7🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·147,000 shares·also $73.5K on YES
Invested
$73.5K
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$45644
+$45644INV $73.5K · WR 77.8%
J
Jsram🥉hedged
Entry 74¢·56,851.7 shares·also $80.8K on YES
Invested
$42.3K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$3811
+$3811INV $42.3K · WR 55.3%
P
petanimal
Entry 14¢·120,640.7 shares
Invested
$17.5K
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$80186
+$80186INV $17.5K · WR 80.8%
I
ImJustKenhedged
Entry 93¢·18,145.9 shares·also $1.3K on YES
Invested
$16.8K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-2101
$-2101INV $16.8K · WR 61.2%
R
ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARDboth sides
Entry 50¢·31,900 shares·also $15.9K on YES
Invested
$15.9K
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$9905
+$9905INV $15.9K · WR 60.9%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 92¢·13,570.8 shares·also $2.3K on YES
Invested
$12.5K
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-1521
$-1521INV $12.5K · WR 57.4%
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven
Entry 21¢·50,000 shares
Invested
$10.7K
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$29804
+$29804INV $10.7K · WR 62.6%
W
WongKimArk
Entry 72¢·9,439.8 shares
Invested
$6.8K
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$892
+$892INV $6.8K · WR 58.6%
R
rdba
Entry 94¢·6,039 shares
Invested
$5.6K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-755
$-755INV $5.6K · WR 74.2%
Showing top 10 of 805
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