iraa3 · Polymarket wallet 0xad60…97f4

Wallet snapshot

iraa3 has made 6,727 trades on Polymarket across 379 markets, $1.4M in volume. Most of it is in politics (27%) and crypto (22%). On 209 resolved markets the win rate is 83.7%, lifetime P&L +$7,247. It holds 111 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $35K · 95¢ → 97¢
• Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No · $22K · 98¢ → 100¢
• Iran Nuke before 2027?No · $17K · 96¢ → 97¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $15K · 44¢ → 36¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $14K · 96¢ → 97¢
• US recession by end of 2026?No · $12K · 93¢ → 95¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $10K · 96¢ → 97¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $9,447 · 32¢ → 22¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $8,411 · 90¢ → 95¢
• Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes · $6,232 · 98¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes · -$240 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%?No · +$1 · Nov 1, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No · +$72 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?No · +$3 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?No · +$28 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?No · +$21 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.