Politics2 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$2.1K
89 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 47 traders
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $113.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%
+6 new YES$2+1 new NO$22
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $29 is directional: YES $29·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$29
Avg Win Rate
74.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$28(-96.6%)
Whales
4
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 8¢·273.4 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $23 · WR 72.0%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 79.7%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven🥉
Entry 6¢·50 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 85.1%
S
sweetj
Entry 1¢·40 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 74.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$671
Avg Win Rate
84.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$300(+44.7%)
Whales
10
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 95¢·281 shares
Invested
$268
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $268 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 75¢·160 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $120 · WR 88.9%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 99¢·90 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $89 · WR 87.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 78¢·89.7 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $70 · WR 88.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 56¢·80.4 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $45 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 97¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $29 · WR 87.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 71¢·35 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $25 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 8¢·190.6 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$174
+$174INV $16 · WR 88.3%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 97¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 86.2%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 0¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $0 · WR 84.7%
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