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Politics758 days left

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$10.77M
126,420 trades
Smart Whales
1779
of 21,365 traders · 17 on both sides

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

46 MARKETS · $682.84M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

943 YESvs853 NO
53%48%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 303 YES vs 136 NO taking a side · 13 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$1.1K+8 new NO$1.9K
$59 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 66% of the money is not a bet
$263.7K of $400.7K is held equally on both sides by 12 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $636 is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $119.8K·NO $16.6K
YES Team
Total Invested
$296.6K
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$82.6K(-27.9%)
Whales
943
M
mombil🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·250,000 shares·also $125.0K on NO
$-88125INV $125.0K · WR 60.4%
P
Pog🥈
Entry 22¢·123,744.3 shares
$-8943INV $27.2K · WR 72.0%
C
cashyProven🥉
Entry 27¢·50,000 shares
$-6075INV $13.4K · WR 72.3%
P
PollsR4Dummies
Entry 12¢·71,402.1 shares
+$1964INV $8.6K · WR 60.0%
V
Vilgefortz
Entry 22¢·37,000 shares
$-2501INV $8.0K · WR 75.3%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 19¢·40,202.7 shares
$-1714INV $7.6K · WR 56.0%
1
11122
Entry 19¢·32,855.7 shares
$-1517INV $6.4K · WR 60.6%
T
tj69both sides
Entry 50¢·10,000 shares·also $5.0K on NO
$-3525INV $5.0K · WR 70.2%
C
Cherut
Entry 27¢·18,510.7 shares
$-2228INV $5.0K · WR 61.0%
A
AJM96
Entry 26¢·12,391.6 shares
$-1440INV $3.3K · WR 59.3%
Showing top 10 of 943

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 52% YES: Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican…