mvmca1611 · Polymarket wallet 0x3744…d422

Wallet snapshot

mvmca1611 has made 1,624 trades on Polymarket across 703 markets, $13K in volume. Most of it is in politics (46%) and geopolitics (24%). On 516 resolved markets the win rate is 74.2%, lifetime P&L -$139. It holds 144 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $454 · 87¢ → 90¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?Yes · $172 · 74¢ → 97¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?No · $133 · 90¢ → 93¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026?Yes · $103 · 94¢ → 97¢
• US strike on Colombia by December 31?No · $96 · 82¢ → 85¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No · $90 · 64¢ → 77¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $77 · 68¢ → 68¢
• Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $76 · 14¢ → 15¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?No · $65 · 54¢ → 38¢
• Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $63 · 2¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Rangers vs. CanucksYes · +$5 · Nov 14, 2026
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%?No · +$0 · Nov 14, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?Yes · +$0 · Nov 13, 2026
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No · -$0 · Nov 13, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?No · +$2 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.