Politics413 days left

Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

8¢

8% implied

NO Price

92¢

92% implied

Volume

$5.5K

118 trades

Smart Whales

5

of 63 traders

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

73 MARKETS · $302.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028

83¢−3¢$8.8K8/2

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028−3¢83¢

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028

63¢−2¢$31.8K17/11

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028−2¢63¢

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028

95¢−17¢$12.5K7/2

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028−17¢95¢

Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028

78¢−15¢$6.4K5/3

Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028−15¢78¢

Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028

89¢−14¢$9.2K3/1

Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028−14¢89¢

Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2028

18¢+32¢$1.1K1/1

Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2028+32¢18¢

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028

59¢−2¢$6.9K8/6

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028−2¢59¢

Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2028

36¢−36¢$9920/4

Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2028−36¢36¢

Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028

91¢+9¢$2.1K5/0

Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028+9¢91¢

Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028

67¢+4¢$23.4K5/2

Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028+4¢67¢

Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2028

15¢+2¢$1.4K1/5

Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2028+2¢15¢

Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028

87¢−7¢$5.6K4/1

Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028−7¢87¢

Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2028

62¢+11¢$2.5K8/3

Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2028+11¢62¢

Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028

68¢−18¢$3.4K2/2

Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028−18¢68¢

Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028

5¢−5¢$6.0K0/2

Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028−5¢5¢

Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028

10¢−10¢$1.7K0/2

Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028−10¢10¢

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2028

73¢+27¢$8733/0

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2028+27¢73¢

Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2028

84¢+16¢$2.7K2/0

Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2028+16¢84¢

Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2028

18¢−18¢$2.4K0/2

Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2028−18¢18¢

Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028←

8¢−8¢$5.5K0/5

Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028←−8¢8¢

Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2028

16¢−16¢$1400/1

Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2028−16¢16¢

Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2028

17¢−17¢$3.7K0/1

Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2028−17¢17¢

Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2028

27¢+40¢$2892/1

Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2028+40¢27¢

Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028

11¢−11¢$2.8K0/2

Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028−11¢11¢

Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028

2¢−2¢$6340/4

Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028−2¢2¢

Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028

4¢−4¢$4.6K0/2

Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028−4¢4¢

Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2028

18¢+15¢$1.9K1/2

Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2028+15¢18¢

Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028

10¢−10¢$3.2K0/1

Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028−10¢10¢

Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028

49¢−49¢$2.6K0/1

Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028−49¢49¢

Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2028

8¢−8¢$7760/2

Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2028−8¢8¢

Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028

13¢+7¢$7.3K1/4

Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028+7¢13¢

Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2028

13¢−13¢$1.6K0/1

Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2028−13¢13¢

Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028

10¢−10¢$2610/1

Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028−10¢10¢

Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028

8¢+17¢$2.1K2/6

Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028+17¢8¢

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2028

16¢−16¢$1.1K0/3

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2028−16¢16¢

Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2028

Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2028—13¢

Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028

30¢+20¢$4.5K4/4

Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028+20¢30¢

Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2028

Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2028—12¢

Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028

10¢−10¢$5.7K0/3

Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028−10¢10¢

Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2028

11¢−11¢$6220/1

Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2028−11¢11¢

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028

72¢+14¢$13.1K6/1

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028+14¢72¢

Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028

59¢−41¢$10.7K2/9

Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028−41¢59¢

Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2028

20¢+30¢$9691/1

Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2028+30¢20¢

Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2028

Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2028—57¢

Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028

17¢+16¢$3.6K1/2

Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028+16¢17¢

Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2028

91¢−41¢$6.5K3/3

Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2028−41¢91¢

Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2028

14¢+6¢$8891/4

Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2028+6¢14¢

Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2028

9¢+11¢$1.7K1/4

Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2028+11¢9¢

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2028

56¢+44¢$2191/0

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2028+44¢56¢

Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2028

Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2028—19¢

Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2028

64¢−64¢$5170/1

Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2028−64¢64¢

Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2028

13¢−13¢$3330/1

Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2028−13¢13¢

Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2028

24¢−24¢$890/1

Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2028−24¢24¢

Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028

28¢−28¢$5.3K0/4

Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028−28¢28¢

Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028

84¢−14¢$15.0K7/3

Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028−14¢84¢

Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028

9¢−9¢$3.1K0/2

Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028−9¢9¢

Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2028

14¢−14¢$3780/1

Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2028−14¢14¢

Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2028

19¢−19¢$310/1

Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2028−19¢19¢

Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2028

11¢−11¢$4900/3

Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2028−11¢11¢

Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2028

Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2028—17¢

Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2028

51¢+49¢$8742/0

Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2028+49¢51¢

Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028

18¢+32¢$4.4K3/3

Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028+32¢18¢

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028

14¢+19¢$1.7K2/4

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028+19¢14¢

Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2028

Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2028—7¢

Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2028

9¢−9¢$1.7K0/3

Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2028−9¢9¢

Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2028

62¢−12¢$5322/2

Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2028−12¢62¢

Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028

25¢−25¢$3.0K0/1

Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028−25¢25¢

Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028

7¢+23¢$4.6K3/7

Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028+23¢7¢

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2028

26¢+74¢$5581/0

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2028+74¢26¢

Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2028

14¢−14¢$5010/1

Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2028−14¢14¢

Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2028

Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2028—18¢

Will Chris Christie announce a Presidential run before 2028

Will Chris Christie announce a Presidential run before 2028—53¢

Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027

1¢+34¢$40.2K7/13

Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027+34¢1¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs5 NO

Wallets vs price

Price 8¢

YES 0%NO 100%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 8¢

Net of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 5 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%

$1

$9

+1 new YES+1 new NO

In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 4 on NO

YES 0NO 4one dot = one wallet

0 wallets on YES

4 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 20h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $833 is directional: YES $0·NO $833

YES Team

Total Invested

$0

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

0

No smart whales on YES

NO Team

Total Invested

$833

Avg Win Rate

72.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$26(+3.2%)

Whales

5

Entry 90¢·868.9 shares

+$25INV $779 · WR 72.9%

Entry 89¢·30.1 shares

+$1INV $27 · WR 64.9%

Entry 91¢·28 shares

+$1INV $25 · WR 55.9%

Entry 92¢·1.2 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 62.0%

Entry 89¢·1.2 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 55.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Smart money 0% YES: Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential…