Politics450 days left

Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?

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YES Price

11¢

11% implied

NO Price

89¢

89% implied

Volume

$1.5K

74 trades

Smart Whales

4

of 32 traders · 1 on both sides

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

72 MARKETS · $136.3K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028

76¢−26¢$6.5K7/7

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028−26¢76¢

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028

60¢+3¢$4.5K5/3

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028+3¢60¢

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028

62¢+9¢$1.6K5/2

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028+9¢62¢

Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028

67¢−7¢$6323/2

Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028−7¢67¢

Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028

66¢+34¢$2151/0

Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028+34¢66¢

Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2028

19¢+48¢$1.1K2/1

Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2028+48¢19¢

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028

52¢+6¢$3.9K7/5

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028+6¢52¢

Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2028

33¢−13¢$8851/4

Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2028−13¢33¢

Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028

88¢+12¢$1.3K5/0

Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028+12¢88¢

Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028

62¢−5¢$2.9K4/3

Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028−5¢62¢

Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2028

19¢+31¢$2212/2

Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2028+31¢19¢

Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028

63¢+4¢$4512/1

Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028+4¢63¢

Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2028

56¢+11¢$5632/1

Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2028+11¢56¢

Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028

54¢+46¢$1.8K2/0

Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028+46¢54¢

Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028

10¢+40¢$4.6K4/4

Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028+40¢10¢

Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028

14¢+36¢$1.2K1/1

Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028+36¢14¢

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2028

57¢+43¢$5015/0

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2028+43¢57¢

Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2028

69¢+31¢$3402/0

Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2028+31¢69¢

Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2028

22¢+11¢$1.3K1/2

Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2028+11¢22¢

Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028←

11¢+9¢$1.5K1/4

Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028←+9¢11¢

Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2028

14¢+86¢$401/0

Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2028+86¢14¢

Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2028

26¢−26¢$1.8K0/1

Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2028−26¢26¢

Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2028

37¢+63¢$801/0

Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2028+63¢37¢

Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028

18¢+7¢$1.8K1/3

Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028+7¢18¢

Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028

2¢−2¢$6280/3

Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028−2¢2¢

Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028

4¢+34¢$4.6K3/5

Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028+34¢4¢

Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2028

14¢+36¢$1.7K2/2

Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2028+36¢14¢

Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028

12¢−12¢$2.4K0/1

Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028−12¢12¢

Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028

23¢+77¢$6652/0

Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028+77¢23¢

Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2028

Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2028—11¢

Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028

25¢+15¢$4.8K2/3

Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028+15¢25¢

Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2028

16¢+17¢$1.2K1/2

Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2028+17¢16¢

Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028

Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028—11¢

Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028

9¢+29¢$1.9K3/5

Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028+29¢9¢

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2028

16¢+51¢$9902/1

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2028+51¢16¢

Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2028

Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2028—13¢

Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028

67¢−11¢$2.3K5/4

Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028−11¢67¢

Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2028

Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2028—12¢

Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028

18¢+11¢$4.6K2/5

Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028+11¢18¢

Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2028

12¢−12¢$600/1

Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2028−12¢12¢

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028

71¢+17¢$3.4K7/1

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028+17¢71¢

Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028

41¢−8¢$2.5K5/10

Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028−8¢41¢

Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2028

18¢+32¢$7192/2

Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2028+32¢18¢

Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2028

33¢+17¢$4681/1

Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2028+17¢33¢

Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028

20¢+30¢$1.2K1/1

Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028+30¢20¢

Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2028

65¢−65¢$5130/1

Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2028−65¢65¢

Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2028

25¢+8¢$3611/2

Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2028+8¢25¢

Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2028

24¢+9¢$2521/2

Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2028+9¢24¢

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2028

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2028—33¢

Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2028

Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2028—23¢

Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2028

27¢+23¢$2621/1

Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2028+23¢27¢

Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2028

24¢+26¢$641/1

Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2028+26¢24¢

Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2028

22¢−22¢$800/2

Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2028−22¢22¢

Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028

28¢−11¢$4.4K1/5

Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028−11¢28¢

Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028

85¢−15¢$5.2K7/3

Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028−15¢85¢

Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028

12¢+28¢$2.3K2/3

Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028+28¢12¢

Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2028

Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2028—14¢

Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2028

Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2028—19¢

Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2028

15¢−15¢$2030/1

Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2028−15¢15¢

Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2028

Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2028—17¢

Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2028

Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2028—15¢

Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028

18¢+11¢$4.2K2/5

Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028+11¢18¢

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028

16¢+4¢$1.1K1/4

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028+4¢16¢

Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2028

Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2028—7¢

Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2028

17¢−17¢$400/1

Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2028−17¢17¢

Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2028

50¢+10¢$4023/2

Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2028+10¢50¢

Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028

19¢+48¢$2.1K2/1

Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028+48¢19¢

Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028

9¢+31¢$2.7K4/6

Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028+31¢9¢

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2028

28¢+32¢$4513/2

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2028+32¢28¢

Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2028

Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2028—21¢

Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2028

11¢−11¢$1710/1

Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2028−11¢11¢

Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027

3¢+39¢$36.3K8/11

Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027+39¢3¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs4 NO

20%80%

80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 4 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$1 of $727 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $726

YES Team

Total Invested

$1

Avg Win Rate

64.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$0(+5.1%)

Whales

1

Entry 10¢·5.9 shares·also $305 on NO

+$0INV $1 · WR 64.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$726

Avg Win Rate

67.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$15(+2.1%)

Whales

4

Entry 87¢·473.6 shares

+$10INV $414 · WR 70.2%

Entry 88¢·347 shares·also $1 on YES

+$5INV $305 · WR 64.9%

Entry 89¢·7 shares

+$0INV $6 · WR 56.8%

Entry 89¢·1.2 shares

—INV $1 · WR 55.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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