Intrepid-Threat · Polymarket wallet 0x02b8…ff77

+$1,486 lifetime P&L · 62.3% win rate · 154 resolved markets · 0x02b8f0e8642e4ae0af25e5f30ef2fc311200ff77

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Wallet snapshot

Intrepid-Threat has made 635 trades on Polymarket across 189 markets, $18K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (27%) and politics (20%). On 154 resolved markets the win rate is 62.3%, lifetime P&L +$1,486. It holds 17 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?". Last trade: Sep 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $453 · 11¢ → 16¢
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes · $308 · 10¢ → 12¢
NATO article 5 before 2027?No · $189 · 94¢ → 95¢
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes · $152 · 66¢ → 76¢
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $146 · 1¢ → 1¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $97 · 94¢ → 97¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes · $96 · 86¢ → 96¢
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No · $90 · 86¢ → 90¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $83 · 76¢ → 83¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $77 · 75¢ → 77¢

Latest closed positions

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?Yes · -$8 · Sep 6, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes · -$23 · Sep 6, 2026
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?Yes · -$28 · Sep 6, 2026
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes · -$35 · Sep 6, 2026
Will Trump say "Russia" during cabinet meeting?Yes · -$30 · Sep 6, 2026
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?Yes · -$5 · Sep 6, 2026
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

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