Politics778 days left
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$15.21M
134,709 trades
Smart Whales
1323
of 24,994 traders · 27 on both sides
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
63 MARKETS · $1238.56M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
650 YESvs700 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 168 YES vs 142 NO taking a side · 23 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 58%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$1.3K+15 new NO$1.7K
$385 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 87% of the money is not a bet
$480.8K of $550.6K is held equally on both sides by 23 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $530 is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $45.2K·NO $24.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$315.2K
Avg Win Rate
72.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$122.4K(-38.8%)
Whales
650
B
balthazar🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·250,110 shares·also $125.0K on NO
Invested
$125.1K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-79535
$-79535INV $125.1K · WR 71.9%
R
rando12345🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·50,000 shares·also $25.0K on NO
Invested
$25.0K
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-15775
$-15775INV $25.0K · WR 67.3%
K
KSKK🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·46,960 shares·also $23.5K on NO
Invested
$23.5K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-14816
$-14816INV $23.5K · WR 72.1%
O
okalrightboth sides
Entry 50¢·30,000 shares·also $15.0K on NO
Invested
$15.0K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-9540
$-9540INV $15.0K · WR 87.3%
A
AgricultureSecretary
Entry 11¢·100,000 shares
Invested
$11.0K
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$7222
+$7222INV $11.0K · WR 91.3%
I
iutwpfalboth sides
Entry 50¢·18,000 shares·also $9.0K on NO
Invested
$9.0K
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
$-5724
$-5724INV $9.0K · WR 74.5%
H
hetaczboth sides
Entry 50¢·15,000 shares·also $7.5K on NO
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
$-4770
$-4770INV $7.5K · WR 82.2%
L
LinaBell🦊both sides
Entry 50¢·15,000 shares·also $7.5K on NO
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-4770
$-4770INV $7.5K · WR 72.1%
P
petanimalboth sides
Entry 50¢·10,000 shares·also $5.0K on NO
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
$-3180
$-3180INV $5.0K · WR 80.7%
G
gickkkkboth sides
Entry 50¢·9,500 shares·also $4.8K on NO
Invested
$4.8K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-2997
$-2997INV $4.8K · WR 62.8%
Showing top 10 of 650
NO Team
Total Invested
$651.2K
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$626.8K(+96.3%)
Whales
700
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA🥇
Entry 33¢·636,467.3 shares
Invested
$211.9K
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$308762
+$308762INV $211.9K · WR 88.3%
B
balthazar🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·250,000 shares·also $125.1K on YES
Invested
$125.0K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$79500
+$79500INV $125.0K · WR 71.9%
R
risk-manager🥉hedged
Entry 87¢·52,215.5 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$45.6K
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
$-2902
$-2902INV $45.6K · WR 73.7%
R
rando12345both sides
Entry 50¢·50,000 shares·also $25.0K on YES
Invested
$25.0K
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$15775
+$15775INV $25.0K · WR 67.3%
K
KSKKboth sides
Entry 50¢·46,960 shares·also $23.5K on YES
Invested
$23.5K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$14816
+$14816INV $23.5K · WR 72.1%
J
jkldskwoejhedged
Entry 82¢·19,655.9 shares·also $3.6K on YES
Invested
$16.1K
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $16.1K · WR 66.0%
O
okalrightboth sides
Entry 50¢·30,000 shares·also $15.0K on YES
Invested
$15.0K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$9540
+$9540INV $15.0K · WR 87.3%
T
TpL7Xq5JwRhedged
Entry 81¢·13,170.8 shares·also $2.8K on YES
Invested
$10.6K
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$151
+$151INV $10.6K · WR 62.4%
I
iutwpfalboth sides
Entry 50¢·18,000 shares·also $9.0K on YES
Invested
$9.0K
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
+$5724
+$5724INV $9.0K · WR 74.5%
H
hetaczboth sides
Entry 50¢·15,000 shares·also $7.5K on YES
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
+$4770
+$4770INV $7.5K · WR 82.2%
Showing top 10 of 700
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