Politics734 days left
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$15.68M
137,513 trades
Smart Whales
1323
of 25,371 traders · 28 on both sides
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
67 MARKETS · $1307.25M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
663 YESvs688 NO
49%51%
51% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 71% YES by dollars · 170 YES vs 137 NO taking a side · 25 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 53%· net of hedges
+58 new YES$13.2K+30 new NO$14.4K
$5.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
14 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 94% of the money is not a bet
$877.3K of $934.2K is held equally on both sides by 25 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $79 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $40.2K·NO $16.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$518.4K
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$285.9K(-55.1%)
Whales
663
H
HH168🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·500,000 shares·also $250.0K on NO
Invested
$250.0K
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-173500
$-173500INV $250.0K · WR 88.5%
V
Vilgefortz🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·283,773 shares·also $141.9K on NO
Invested
$141.9K
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-98469
$-98469INV $141.9K · WR 75.4%
R
rando12345🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·40,000 shares·also $20.0K on NO
Invested
$20.0K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-13880
$-13880INV $20.0K · WR 67.5%
R
rainbowliliesboth sides
Entry 50¢·23,000 shares·also $11.5K on NO
Invested
$11.5K
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
$-7981
$-7981INV $11.5K · WR 83.9%
A
AgricultureSecretary◆Proven
Entry 11¢·100,000 shares
Invested
$11.0K
Win Rate
90.6%
Position P&L
+$4322
+$4322INV $11.0K · WR 90.6%
P
petanimalboth sides
Entry 50¢·9,000 shares·also $4.5K on NO
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-3123
$-3123INV $4.5K · WR 80.8%
F
foodenjoyer
Entry 9¢·42,667.4 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$2702
+$2702INV $3.8K · WR 61.3%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 18¢·21,347.7 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-478
$-478INV $3.7K · WR 61.2%
J
jkldskwoejhedged
Entry 18¢·19,655.9 shares·also $16.1K on NO
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-372
$-372INV $3.6K · WR 65.5%
J
J-E-R
Entry 16¢·18,793.9 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $2.9K · WR 58.5%
Showing top 10 of 663
NO Team
Total Invested
$854.3K
Avg Win Rate
82.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$808.7K(+94.7%)
Whales
688
H
HH168🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·500,000 shares·also $250.0K on YES
Invested
$250.0K
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$173500
+$173500INV $250.0K · WR 88.5%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA🥈
Entry 33¢·636,467.3 shares
Invested
$211.9K
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$319582
+$319582INV $211.9K · WR 89.0%
V
Vilgefortz🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·283,773 shares·also $141.9K on YES
Invested
$141.9K
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$98469
+$98469INV $141.9K · WR 75.4%
R
risk-managerhedged
Entry 87¢·52,215.5 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$45.6K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-2015
$-2015INV $45.6K · WR 73.6%
R
rando12345both sides
Entry 50¢·40,000 shares·also $20.0K on YES
Invested
$20.0K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$13880
+$13880INV $20.0K · WR 67.5%
J
jkldskwoejhedged
Entry 82¢·19,655.9 shares·also $3.6K on YES
Invested
$16.1K
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$272
+$272INV $16.1K · WR 65.5%
R
rainbowliliesboth sides
Entry 50¢·23,000 shares·also $11.5K on YES
Invested
$11.5K
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$7981
+$7981INV $11.5K · WR 83.9%
G
glhfgg
Entry 11¢·60,343.3 shares
Invested
$6.8K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$43620
+$43620INV $6.8K · WR 71.3%
P
petanimalboth sides
Entry 50¢·9,000 shares·also $4.5K on YES
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$3123
+$3123INV $4.5K · WR 80.8%
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven
Entry 9¢·50,000 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$37300
+$37300INV $4.5K · WR 62.6%
Showing top 10 of 688
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