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Geopolitics90 days left

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$786.3K
7,991 trades
Smart Whales
313
of 1,937 traders

Smart Money Consensus

150 YESvs163 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 51 YES vs 78 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$241+31 new NO$4.4K
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $117.7K is directional: YES $8.5K·NO $109.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$27.7K
Avg Win Rate
69.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$17.8K(-64.3%)
Whales
150
A
adonpoli🥇hedged
Entry 69¢·8,469.4 shares·also $2.7K on NO
$-5275INV $5.9K · WR 84.5%
S
ScottyNooo🥈
Entry 28¢·16,104.9 shares
$-3396INV $4.5K · WR 55.9%
J
JoeBlack01🥉hedged
Entry 129¢·1,896.1 shares·also $844 on NO
$-2308INV $2.4K · WR 60.3%
B
bizarroworldhedged
Entry 72¢·2,645.6 shares·also $675 on NO
$-1723INV $1.9K · WR 75.0%
N
needyourcashhedged
Entry 55¢·2,689 shares·also $1.1K on NO
$-1288INV $1.5K · WR 71.4%
M
MarcusInfernalhedged
Entry 74¢·1,634.5 shares·also $534 on NO
$-1092INV $1.2K · WR 59.5%
M
MyLossIsYourGain
Entry 35¢·2,708.7 shares
$-769INV $959 · WR 59.8%
T
Threadbare-Signal
Entry 13¢·4,695 shares
$-284INV $612 · WR 60.6%
C
Car
Entry 16¢·3,477 shares
$-325INV $568 · WR 65.0%
K
Kris-Future
Entry 27¢·2,000 shares
$-410INV $550 · WR 86.0%
Showing top 10 of 150

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 48% YES: Ukraine agree to cede territory…