adonpoli · Polymarket wallet 0x0260…0d88

Wallet snapshot

adonpoli has made 11,291 trades on Polymarket across 333 markets, $8.1M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (34%) and politics (21%). On 297 resolved markets the win rate is 84.5%, lifetime P&L +$29K. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $9,971 · 84¢ → 85¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $4,525 · 90¢ → 91¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No · $2,565 · 85¢ → 86¢
• Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?No · $93 · 91¢ → 89¢

Latest closed positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No · +$200 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · +$30 · Oct 12, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No · -$350 · Oct 6, 2026
• US recession by end of 2026?No · +$94 · Oct 3, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No · +$144 · Oct 1, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · +$273 · Sep 28, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No · +$12 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · +$1,113 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$1,230 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No · $0 · Sep 21, 2026

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