SirHarryOakes · Polymarket wallet 0x5685…62e2

Wallet snapshot

SirHarryOakes has made 3,415 trades on Polymarket across 313 markets, $1.1M in volume. Most of it is in politics (38%) and geopolitics (34%). On 277 resolved markets the win rate is 84.5%, lifetime P&L +$47K. It holds 19 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $17K · 92¢ → 95¢
• Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes · $15K · 90¢ → 96¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · $14K · 68¢ → 94¢
• Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes · $9,913 · 91¢ → 91¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No · $8,935 · 81¢ → 95¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes · $8,559 · 83¢ → 83¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $6,564 · 80¢ → 88¢
• Cuban regime falls in 2026?No · $6,504 · 81¢ → 89¢
• Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes · $2,202 · 87¢ → 96¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No · $2,142 · 49¢ → 51¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$2,193 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$28 · Oct 5, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No · -$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?No · +$15 · Oct 1, 2026
• Ravens vs. CowboysYes · -$26 · Sep 28, 2026
• Patriots vs. Jaguars

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