PoliticsResolved

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

YES Price
42¢
42% implied
NO Price
58¢
58% implied
Volume
$1.28M
14,628 trades
Smart Whales
420
of 2,735 traders · 8 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

205 YESvs223 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 63% YES by dollars · 154 YES vs 84 NO taking a side · 5 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 53%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$789+7 new NO$876
$96 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$81 of $227.9K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $143.2K·NO $84.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 48% YES: Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles…