alfabetica · Polymarket wallet 0x116a…6226

Wallet snapshot

alfabetica has made 790 trades on Polymarket across 25 markets, $240K in volume. Most of it is in politics (80%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 70%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $5,375 · 21¢ → 22¢
• Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?Yes · $5,032 · 86¢ → 92¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $4,028 · 79¢ → 90¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $474 · 91¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · +$1,000 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes · +$8,665 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$2,511 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$8,231 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$3,897 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No · +$700 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$850 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$1,910 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes · +$16K · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$11K · Nov 4, 2026

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