PoliticsResolved

Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?

YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$20.4K
3,329 trades
Smart Whales
119
of 511 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

47 YESvs73 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 41% YES by dollars · 33 YES vs 28 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$886+19 new NO$5.6K
$259 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$64 of $30.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $12.2K·NO $17.9K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 39% YES: the Democrats win the Texas governor…