Treadmilled · Polymarket wallet 0xf4ba…5933

+$193,300 lifetime P&L · 58.8% win rate · 148 resolved markets · 0xf4baccff188321440a1ed01a5d5fd89c3e1f5933

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Wallet snapshot

Treadmilled has made 5,451 trades on Polymarket across 153 markets, $7.7M in volume. Most of it is in politics (36%) and geopolitics (30%). On 148 resolved markets the win rate is 58.8%, lifetime P&L +$193K. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?". Last trade: Oct 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $14K · 76¢ → 70¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No · $1,305 · 65¢ → 93¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes · $27 · 69¢ → 18¢

Latest closed positions

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · -$398 · Sep 16, 2026
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$66K · Sep 16, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$24 · Aug 31, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · -$99K · Jul 29, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No · -$2,762 · Jul 29, 2026
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$751 · Jul 20, 2026
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$1,979 · Jul 20, 2026
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No · +$1,803 · Jul 19, 2026
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Yes · +$34K · Jul 12, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$9,717 · Jun 18, 2026

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