EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$42.15M
77,389 trades
Smart Whales
2194
of 11,016 traders · 37 on both sides
Fed Decision in September?
7 MARKETS · $55.13M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting←
100¢−38¢$42.15M1375/856by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting←−38¢100¢
$42.15M1375/856
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
17¢+37¢$7.30M322/278by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+37¢17¢
$7.30M322/278
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+18¢$4.37M53/245by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+18¢0¢
$4.37M53/245
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
75¢−35¢$763.2K65/99by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−35¢75¢
$763.2K65/99
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
3¢+12¢$419.5K14/78by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+12¢3¢
$419.5K14/78
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1375 YESvs856 NO
62%38%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 939 YES vs 404 NO taking a side · 15 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$14.0K of $905.8K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 35 wallets. True directional: YES $780.3K·NO $109.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$16.09M
Avg Win Rate
66.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.23M(+57.4%)
Whales
1,375
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul🥇
Entry 58¢·9,785,683.6 shares
Invested
$5.63M
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$4155530
+$4155530INV $5.63M · WR 62.7%
E
Erasmus.◆Proven🥈
Entry 61¢·2,416,077.7 shares
Invested
$1.48M
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$940791
+$940791INV $1.48M · WR 70.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 43¢·1,890,382.9 shares
Invested
$806.6K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1083755
+$1083755INV $806.6K · WR 57.7%
T
TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard
Entry 51¢·1,575,296.8 shares
Invested
$800.0K
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$775312
+$775312INV $800.0K · WR 65.6%
T
ThePrinceThatWasPromised
Entry 47¢·1,002,946 shares
Invested
$470.5K
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$532406
+$532406INV $470.5K · WR 62.9%
P
Protruder
Entry 83¢·551,574.6 shares
Invested
$455.5K
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$96105
+$96105INV $455.5K · WR 78.8%
H
HH168
Entry 83¢·460,338.8 shares
Invested
$383.7K
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$76630
+$76630INV $383.7K · WR 86.9%
J
Jjjh77660
Entry 49¢·665,771.2 shares
Invested
$323.9K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$341858
+$341858INV $323.9K · WR 67.6%
Y
yingxer
Entry 86¢·358,425.3 shares
Invested
$309.6K
Win Rate
96.9%
Position P&L
+$48806
+$48806INV $309.6K · WR 96.9%
R
Ronaldo2100
Entry 82¢·359,686 shares
Invested
$293.5K
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$66139
+$66139INV $293.5K · WR 66.1%
Showing top 10 of 1,375
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.86M
Avg Win Rate
76.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.24M(-43.2%)
Whales
856
X
XAE12Archangel🥇
Entry 51¢·1,053,396.9 shares
Invested
$538.3K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-538287
$-538287INV $538.3K · WR 77.3%
F
foodenjoyer🥈hedged
Entry 59¢·245,858.3 shares·also $169.4K on YES
Invested
$145.8K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-145763
$-145763INV $145.8K · WR 60.2%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 49¢·266,861.6 shares
Invested
$131.5K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-131547
$-131547INV $131.5K · WR 85.8%
F
Frigg
Entry 39¢·299,677.4 shares
Invested
$115.4K
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-115423
$-115423INV $115.4K · WR 77.7%
C
classified◆Proven
Entry 14¢·712,152.6 shares
Invested
$96.3K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-96321
$-96321INV $96.3K · WR 82.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 46¢·199,333.1 shares
Invested
$91.2K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-91180
$-91180INV $91.2K · WR 87.7%
O
odsowner
Entry 45¢·82,940.3 shares
Invested
$37.2K
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-37191
$-37191INV $37.2K · WR 61.9%
K
Keepthyfaith8
Entry 72¢·17,395.6 shares
Invested
$12.5K
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-12516
$-12516INV $12.5K · WR 68.5%
P
PotatoKotato
Entry 14¢·56,374.2 shares
Invested
$7.6K
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-7619
$-7619INV $7.6K · WR 63.3%
G
gickkkkboth sides
Entry 50¢·14,000 shares·also $7.0K on YES
Invested
$7.0K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-6993
$-6993INV $7.0K · WR 62.8%
Showing top 10 of 856
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