EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$42.15M
77,389 trades
Smart Whales
2275
of 11,016 traders · 39 on both sides
Fed Decision in September?
7 MARKETS · $45.75M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting←
100¢−39¢$42.15M1413/886by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting←−39¢100¢
$42.15M1413/886
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
56¢−8¢$1.82M116/124by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting−8¢56¢
$1.82M116/124
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
1¢+27¢$1.27M33/83by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+27¢1¢
$1.27M33/83
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
68¢−40¢$299.6K29/76by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−40¢68¢
$299.6K29/76
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+28¢$172.8K19/46by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+28¢1¢
$172.8K19/46
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1421 YESvs893 NO
61%39%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars · 950 YES vs 422 NO taking a side · 19 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$14.0K of $1.12M is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 37 wallets. True directional: YES $1.01M·NO $95.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$16.42M
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.32M(+56.8%)
Whales
1,421
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul🥇
Entry 58¢·9,785,683.6 shares
Invested
$5.63M
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$4155530
+$4155530INV $5.63M · WR 62.9%
E
Erasmus.🥈
Entry 61¢·2,416,077.7 shares
Invested
$1.48M
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$940791
+$940791INV $1.48M · WR 70.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 43¢·1,890,382.9 shares
Invested
$806.6K
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$1083755
+$1083755INV $806.6K · WR 58.1%
T
TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard
Entry 51¢·1,575,296.8 shares
Invested
$800.0K
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$775312
+$775312INV $800.0K · WR 65.6%
T
ThePrinceThatWasPromised
Entry 47¢·1,002,946 shares
Invested
$470.5K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$532406
+$532406INV $470.5K · WR 61.1%
P
Protruder
Entry 83¢·551,574.6 shares
Invested
$455.5K
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$96105
+$96105INV $455.5K · WR 83.3%
H
HH168
Entry 83¢·460,338.8 shares
Invested
$383.7K
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$76630
+$76630INV $383.7K · WR 86.9%
M
mnuop8890
Entry 49¢·665,771.2 shares
Invested
$323.9K
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$341858
+$341858INV $323.9K · WR 65.6%
Y
yingxer
Entry 86¢·358,425.3 shares
Invested
$309.6K
Win Rate
96.2%
Position P&L
+$48806
+$48806INV $309.6K · WR 96.2%
R
Ronaldo2100
Entry 82¢·359,686 shares
Invested
$293.5K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$66139
+$66139INV $293.5K · WR 65.9%
Showing top 10 of 1,421
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.87M
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.22M(-42.5%)
Whales
893
X
XAE12Archangel🥇
Entry 51¢·1,053,396.9 shares
Invested
$538.3K
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-538287
$-538287INV $538.3K · WR 77.8%
F
foodenjoyer🥈hedged
Entry 59¢·245,858.3 shares·also $169.4K on YES
Invested
$145.8K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-145763
$-145763INV $145.8K · WR 60.2%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 49¢·266,861.6 shares
Invested
$131.5K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-131547
$-131547INV $131.5K · WR 85.8%
F
Frigg
Entry 39¢·299,677.4 shares
Invested
$115.4K
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-115423
$-115423INV $115.4K · WR 78.2%
C
classified
Entry 14¢·712,152.6 shares
Invested
$96.3K
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
$-96321
$-96321INV $96.3K · WR 83.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 46¢·199,333.1 shares
Invested
$91.2K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-91180
$-91180INV $91.2K · WR 87.7%
O
odsowner
Entry 45¢·82,940.3 shares
Invested
$37.2K
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-37191
$-37191INV $37.2K · WR 61.7%
P
PotatoKotato
Entry 14¢·56,374.2 shares
Invested
$7.6K
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
$-7619
$-7619INV $7.6K · WR 63.9%
G
gickkkkboth sides
Entry 50¢·14,000 shares·also $7.0K on YES
Invested
$7.0K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-6993
$-6993INV $7.0K · WR 62.8%
G
gambler925
Entry 53¢·9,818.9 shares
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-5189
$-5189INV $5.2K · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 893
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