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EconomicsResolved

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$25.88M
84,923 trades
Smart Whales
1055
of 14,490 traders · 16 on both sides

Fed Decision in July?

7 MARKETS · $39.12M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

260 YESvs811 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 60% YES by dollars · 201 YES vs 618 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1.3K of $274.1K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $162.7K·NO $110.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.03M
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$998.9K(-97.4%)
Whales
260
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul🥇
Entry 16¢·1,915,446.3 shares
$-312427INV $312.4K · WR 62.7%
E
Erasmus.Proven🥈
Entry 24¢·875,341.9 shares
$-207496INV $207.5K · WR 70.7%
F
foodenjoyer🥉hedged
Entry 10¢·1,207,441.8 shares·also $532.7K on NO
$-125327INV $125.3K · WR 60.2%
T
Treadmilled
Entry 22¢·468,460.7 shares
$-102980INV $103.0K · WR 58.8%
U
Upright-Snug
Entry 32¢·233,782 shares
$-73973INV $74.0K · WR 80.1%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 24¢·249,999.7 shares
$-60368INV $60.4K · WR 61.2%
D
defillama7Proven
Entry 24¢·70,978 shares
$-17270INV $17.3K · WR 68.5%
D
Detailed-Poison
Entry 24¢·69,383.5 shares
$-16914INV $16.9K · WR 86.2%
Y
yungstalin
Entry 10¢·136,599.3 shares
$-13482INV $13.5K · WR 60.4%
S
SquirrelTheMerchant
Entry 21¢·56,031.3 shares
$-11588INV $11.6K · WR 64.9%
Showing top 10 of 260

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 24% YES: the Fed increase interest rates by 25…