YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$163.0K
1,517 trades
Smart Whales
70
of 323 traders · 2 on both sides
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
15 MARKETS · $5.39M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
39 YESvs33 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 68% YES by dollars · 28 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 56%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$119+7 new NO$97
$36 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$11 of $14.1K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $9.7K·NO $4.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$15.4K
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$214(-1.4%)
Whales
39
H
Hakei.🥇
Entry 54¢·9,230.6 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-352
$-352INV $5.0K · WR 71.7%
D
DumplingBMF◆Proven🥈
Entry 41¢·4,839.1 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$452
+$452INV $2.0K · WR 69.2%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven🥉
Entry 53¢·3,443.3 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $1.8K · WR 55.7%
7
0x7678aa83...
Entry 46¢·2,997.7 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$146
+$146INV $1.4K · WR 56.5%
K
kukubaja◆Proven
Entry 63¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$759
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
$-153
$-153INV $759 · WR 82.6%
T
Te0n2
Entry 52¢·1,061.5 shares
Invested
$556
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $556 · WR 66.9%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 53¢·828.7 shares
Invested
$439
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $439 · WR 68.2%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 70¢·565 shares
Invested
$395
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $395 · WR 90.9%
G
Gl4d
Entry 51¢·758.9 shares
Invested
$387
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $387 · WR 59.6%
4
0x4e84ce15...hedged
Entry 63¢·605 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$381
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $381 · WR 60.2%
Showing top 10 of 39
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.3K
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$413(+5.7%)
Whales
33
S
SirHarryOakes🥇
Entry 49¢·4,241.9 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $2.1K · WR 84.5%
J
JoeBlack01🥈
Entry 41¢·1,882 shares
Invested
$764
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$168
+$168INV $764 · WR 60.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·1,055.3 shares·also $379 on YES
Invested
$699
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-177
$-177INV $699 · WR 55.3%
G
goatboss
Entry 61¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$610
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $610 · WR 60.9%
X
XAE12Archangel
Entry 32¢·1,377.1 shares
Invested
$446
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$236
+$236INV $446 · WR 77.3%
U
unsecured7308
Entry 47¢·923.2 shares
Invested
$432
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $432 · WR 84.4%
G
Gluckyklucky
Entry 40¢·902.5 shares
Invested
$358
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $358 · WR 81.5%
G
green9
Entry 44¢·600 shares
Invested
$264
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $264 · WR 68.5%
N
newnewuser
Entry 45¢·582.5 shares
Invested
$262
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $262 · WR 61.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 43¢·427.9 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $185 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 33
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