smellyEllie · Polymarket wallet 0x38f5…6824

Wallet snapshot

smellyEllie has made 24,869 trades on Polymarket across 3,610 markets, $1.7M in volume. Most of it is in politics (26%) and geopolitics (21%). On 3,273 resolved markets the win rate is 53.3%, lifetime P&L +$111K. It holds 167 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $26K · 50¢ → 87¢
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?No · $7,899 · 93¢ → 99¢
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes · $6,213 · 91¢ → 88¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?No · $5,864 · 77¢ → 91¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $3,915 · 50¢ → 13¢
• Dota 2: potn9ki vs oveA - Game 2 WinnerYes · $3,368 · 55¢ → 57¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes · $2,798 · 18¢ → 11¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes · $2,320 · 23¢ → 23¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $1,189 · 57¢ → 79¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes · $1,056 · 38¢ → 37¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 9:00 PM ET?Yes · +$402 · Nov 14, 2026
• Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 12:00 PM ET?No · -$102 · Nov 14, 2026
• Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 10:30 PM ET?Yes · +$338 · Nov 14, 2026
• Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 10:00 PM ET?Yes · +$338 · Nov 14, 2026
• Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 2:00 AM ET?Yes · +$322 · Nov 14, 2026
• Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 11:00 PM ET?Yes · +$1,209 · Nov 14, 2026

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