Geopolitics170 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?

YES Price
33¢
33% implied
NO Price
67¢
67% implied
Volume
$184.0K
1,716 trades
Smart Whales
66
of 309 traders · 2 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

37 YESvs31 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 25 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 57%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$1.2K+3 new NO$1.6K
$32 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$209 of $7.0K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $3.9K·NO $2.9K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 54% YES: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement…