Fearless-Misnomer · Polymarket wallet 0xe234…304a

Wallet snapshot

Fearless-Misnomer has made 27,897 trades on Polymarket across 538 markets, $13M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (48%) and politics (17%). On 416 resolved markets the win rate is 41.6%, lifetime P&L +$148K. It holds 93 open positions right now; the largest is No on "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House". Last trade: Oct 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $27K · 92¢ → 92¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $22K · 57¢ → 65¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes · $9,625 · 29¢ → 28¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No · $9,079 · 22¢ → 20¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · $8,142 · 67¢ → 78¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes · $7,028 · 30¢ → 26¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $6,250 · 66¢ → 63¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $5,755 · 19¢ → 22¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Yes · $5,342 · 97¢ → 98¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $4,987 · 23¢ → 22¢

Latest closed positions

• LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 WinnerNo · +$2,336 · Oct 17, 2026
• LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 WinnerYes · -$162 · Oct 17, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?No · -$91 · Oct 17, 2026
• Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Yes · +$2,527 · Oct 16, 2026
• Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?Yes · +$1,542 · Oct 16, 2026
• Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?No · +$1,845 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?

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