YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$498.4K
7,494 trades
Smart Whales
227
of 1,305 traders · 3 on both sides
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
3 MARKETS · $522.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
99 YESvs131 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 58 YES vs 103 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$78+7 new NO$1.0K
$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$26 of $122.4K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $26.2K·NO $96.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$37.8K
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$11.8K(-31.3%)
Whales
99
D
DirkDiggler67◆Proven🥇
Entry 27¢·28,310.6 shares
Invested
$7.7K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-2984
$-2984INV $7.7K · WR 67.6%
P
Pondermint🥈
Entry 29¢·20,492.5 shares
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-2630
$-2630INV $6.0K · WR 63.4%
6
6idontknow123451334🥉
Entry 41¢·8,783.6 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-2158
$-2158INV $3.6K · WR 62.5%
S
scottilicious
Entry 26¢·6,231.8 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-596
$-596INV $1.6K · WR 85.4%
B
bernardbulletin◆Proven
Entry 31¢·4,989.5 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-708
$-708INV $1.5K · WR 69.3%
B
BasedJonStewart
Entry 44¢·3,257.6 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-899
$-899INV $1.4K · WR 62.3%
P
Palmfrog
Entry 24¢·2,078.3 shares
Invested
$509
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
$-166
$-166INV $509 · WR 74.5%
E
easierthanmanifold
Entry 26¢·1,900.4 shares
Invested
$488
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-175
$-175INV $488 · WR 58.3%
P
puravida
Entry 38¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$454
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-256
$-256INV $454 · WR 59.9%
F
Folletin
Entry 43¢·815.6 shares
Invested
$351
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-216
$-216INV $351 · WR 69.8%
Showing top 10 of 99
NO Team
Total Invested
$99.4K
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$11.3K(+11.3%)
Whales
131
S
Sticky-Closing🥇
Entry 77¢·19,383 shares
Invested
$14.9K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$1307
+$1307INV $14.9K · WR 62.5%
P
Parz1vaI🥈
Entry 78¢·17,788.5 shares
Invested
$13.9K
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$958
+$958INV $13.9K · WR 71.6%
M
M2sx92kljs42🥉
Entry 78¢·10,468.8 shares
Invested
$8.1K
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$462
+$462INV $8.1K · WR 71.2%
M
Mr-Krabs◆Proven
Entry 71¢·8,995.8 shares
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$1108
+$1108INV $6.4K · WR 78.7%
M
MEPP
Entry 65¢·8,122.1 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
+$1527
+$1527INV $5.3K · WR 64.2%
F
forinnerpsandr1x11222◆Proven
Entry 77¢·6,594.4 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
91.5%
Position P&L
+$426
+$426INV $5.1K · WR 91.5%
M
mm4ker
Entry 73¢·5,735.4 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$491
+$491INV $4.2K · WR 69.7%
N
Noname333◆Proven
Entry 74¢·4,380.2 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$405
+$405INV $3.3K · WR 76.1%
T
Trumpchi
Entry 74¢·3,985.2 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$370
+$370INV $3.0K · WR 79.5%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 78¢·3,569.8 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$207
+$207INV $2.8K · WR 75.9%
Showing top 10 of 131
Smart Whale Trades
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