YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$54.2K
386 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 180 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs20 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 50¢
YES 23%NO 77%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 50¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 18 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
$3.8K
$96.9K
+127 new YES · 13 smart whales+83 new NO · 30 smart whales
$743 bought on both sides by the same 30 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ8 of 12 on YES
YES 8NO 4one dot = one wallet
8 wallets on YES
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 7h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $71.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $74·NO $71.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$75
Avg Win Rate
65.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$29(-39.4%)
Whales
6
G
groth◆Proven🥇
Entry 3¢·1,090 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $37 · WR 63.9%
S
Stupendous-Warning🥈
Entry 4¢·700 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $29 · WR 69.1%
Z
ZalphaAI🥉
Entry 3¢·183.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $6 · WR 62.6%
T
trader-9b779399
Entry 4¢·43.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 60.2%
C
CosmicCedarhedged
Entry 2¢·20 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
90.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $0 · WR 90.3%
M
mad4xhedged
Entry 2¢·1 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 55.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$71.3K
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$844(+1.2%)
Whales
20
C
Cheerful-Ephemera🥇
Entry 97¢·65,823.5 shares
Invested
$64.0K
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
+$680
+$680INV $64.0K · WR 74.5%
A
AlexiosV🥈
Entry 97¢·1,999.9 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $1.9K · WR 83.3%
A
aadvark◆Proven🥉
Entry 96¢·1,450.3 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $1.4K · WR 62.8%
S
Single-Challenge◆Proven
Entry 93¢·1,055 shares
Invested
$981
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $981 · WR 67.5%
I
ifyouloveme◆Proven
Entry 96¢·971.3 shares
Invested
$935
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $935 · WR 59.6%
P
polybettor
Entry 95¢·762 shares
Invested
$725
Win Rate
92.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $725 · WR 92.7%
I
insidero
Entry 97¢·633 shares
Invested
$614
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $614 · WR 74.1%
G
Grand-Restoration
Entry 97¢·300 shares
Invested
$291
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $291 · WR 72.0%
O
on-cinema
Entry 98¢·140 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $137 · WR 68.1%
S
Slowroasted
Entry 97¢·120 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $117 · WR 92.9%
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