insidero · Polymarket wallet 0x3eae…5e6d

+$17,539 lifetime P&L · 72.7% win rate · 407 resolved markets · 0x3eae62bde2d83aba0fe84018921b2693ec645e6d

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Wallet snapshot

insidero has made 5,727 trades on Polymarket across 503 markets, $745K in volume. Most of it is in politics (34%) and geopolitics (32%). On 407 resolved markets the win rate is 72.7%, lifetime P&L +$18K. It holds 45 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No · $10K · 92¢ → 98¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?No · $3,635 · 90¢ → 96¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No · $2,761 · 94¢ → 96¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $2,183 · 96¢ → 97¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $1,810 · 89¢ → 91¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $1,810 · 93¢ → 91¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $1,442 · 93¢ → 98¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes · $1,361 · 58¢ → 54¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $1,250 · 75¢ → 74¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $1,243 · 94¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?No · +$76 · Oct 9, 2026
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$51 · Oct 9, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$38 · Oct 6, 2026
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$166 · Oct 5, 2026
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$175 · Oct 5, 2026
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No · +$81 · Oct 5, 2026

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