Geopolitics81 days left

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$641.4K
8,296 trades
Smart Whales
267
of 1,668 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

94 YESvs174 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 98 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$1+4 new NO$84
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $72.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $246·NO $71.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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