Geopolitics80 days left
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$133.7K
2,346 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 585 traders
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
10 MARKETS · $7.52M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←
15¢+19¢$209.8K20/38Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←+19¢15¢
$209.8K20/38
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
6¢+20¢$359.1K13/37Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+20¢6¢
$359.1K13/37
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
98¢−48¢$4.9K5/5Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−48¢98¢
$4.9K5/5
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
97¢−40¢$65.0K4/3Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−40¢97¢
$65.0K4/3
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
73¢−20¢$14.9K8/7Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−20¢73¢
$14.9K8/7
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
21¢+19¢$5852/3Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+19¢21¢
$5852/3
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
89¢−14¢$1393/1Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−14¢89¢
$1393/1
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
59¢—$680/0Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026—59¢
$680/0
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Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs39 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 23 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$129+7 new NO$631
$89 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9.0K is directional: YES $602·NO $8.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.9K
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.1K(-73.0%)
Whales
21
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇hedged
Entry 105¢·1,069.4 shares·also $367 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-963
$-963INV $1.1K · WR 57.7%
R
RememberAmalek🥈hedged
Entry 94¢·760 shares·also $289 on NO
Invested
$718
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-604
$-604INV $718 · WR 64.4%
G
Glued◆Proven🥉
Entry 38¢·1,560 shares
Invested
$587
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-353
$-353INV $587 · WR 56.2%
W
WeJustBettin
Entry 76¢·242.3 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-147
$-147INV $183 · WR 86.9%
S
studmuffin6969hedged
Entry 37¢·243.7 shares·also $184 on NO
Invested
$91
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $91 · WR 60.0%
1
12100Khedged
Entry 29¢·111.4 shares·also $69 on NO
Invested
$32
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $32 · WR 79.5%
M
Majas
Entry 16¢·69.5 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 67.4%
G
gellej
Entry 35¢·6.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 86.7%
L
LosingEverything12312312323123◆Proven
Entry 15¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 73.1%
Showing top 9 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.4K
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.0K(+11.0%)
Whales
39
H
Hakei.🥇
Entry 85¢·2,530.2 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $2.2K · WR 71.7%
R
Rr55◆Proven🥈
Entry 85¢·2,261.9 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1.9K · WR 73.2%
F
fElon🥉
Entry 82¢·2,024.2 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
89.8%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $1.7K · WR 89.8%
A
albert.00
Entry 90¢·884.8 shares
Invested
$800
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $800 · WR 69.0%
3
3zekiel
Entry 84¢·806.7 shares
Invested
$681
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $681 · WR 87.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 34¢·1,069.4 shares·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$367
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$542
+$542INV $367 · WR 57.7%
W
Witty-Birch
Entry 84¢·400 shares
Invested
$337
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $337 · WR 64.7%
R
RememberAmalekhedged
Entry 38¢·760 shares·also $718 on YES
Invested
$289
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$357
+$357INV $289 · WR 64.4%
G
Gaujmalietis
Entry 86¢·308.7 shares
Invested
$264
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $264 · WR 87.2%
S
studmuffin6969hedged
Entry 75¢·243.7 shares·also $91 on YES
Invested
$184
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $184 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 39
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