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Geopolitics90 days left

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
8Ā¢
8% implied
NO Price
92Ā¢
92% implied
Volume
$6.53M
34,209 trades
Smart Whales
520
of 2,709 traders

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

8 MARKETS Ā· $7.74M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

262 YESvs258 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars Ā· 11 YES vs 21 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%Ā· net of hedges
+10 new YES$110+25 new NO$1.6K
$19 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers ā€” left out of momentum
0 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā€” all $3.9K is directional: YES $272Ā·NO $3.6K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
64.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-47.1%)
Whales
262
G
GluedšŸ„‡hedged
Entry 66Ā¢Ā·1,167.8 sharesĀ·also $88 on NO
$-686INV $775 Ā· WR 56.2%
1
12100KšŸ„ˆhedged
Entry 91Ā¢Ā·382.2 sharesĀ·also $109 on NO
$-320INV $349 Ā· WR 79.4%
R
RememberAmalekProvenšŸ„‰
Entry 285Ā¢Ā·89.1 shares
$-247INV $254 Ā· WR 64.5%
S
studmuffin6969
Entry 27Ā¢Ā·730.8 shares
$-145INV $200 Ā· WR 60.1%
G
georgecalinescu8635hedged
Entry 76Ā¢Ā·216.2 sharesĀ·also $66 on NO
$-148INV $164 Ā· WR 70.2%
C
0xc9f197ff...hedged
Entry 34Ā¢Ā·182.8 sharesĀ·also $137 on NO
$-49INV $63 Ā· WR 63.1%
G
gellej
Entry 27Ā¢Ā·100 shares
$-19INV $27 Ā· WR 86.7%
8
88mnm88
Entry 20Ā¢Ā·95.2 shares
$-12INV $19 Ā· WR 77.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 7Ā¢Ā·109.2 shares
+$1INV $8 Ā· WR 68.6%
G
gajistan
Entry 10Ā¢Ā·51.8 shares
$-1INV $5 Ā· WR 71.2%
Showing top 10 of 262

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 50% YES: there be at least 10000 measles casesā€¦