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Geopolitics90 days left

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
14ยข
14% implied
NO Price
86ยข
86% implied
Volume
$202.4K
2,141 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 573 traders

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

8 MARKETS ยท $7.74M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

20 YESvs33 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars ยท 4 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%ยท net of hedges
+24 new YES$802+20 new NO$3.5K
$455 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
3 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $8.4K is directional: YES $699ยทNO $7.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
62.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.4K(-77.9%)
Whales
20
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly๐Ÿฅ‡hedged
Entry 105ยขยท1,069.4 sharesยทalso $367 on NO
$-979INV $1.1K ยท WR 57.8%
R
RememberAmalek๐Ÿฅˆhedged
Entry 94ยขยท760 sharesยทalso $289 on NO
$-616INV $718 ยท WR 64.5%
G
Glued๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 38ยขยท1,560 shares
$-392INV $587 ยท WR 56.2%
W
WeJustBettin
Entry 76ยขยท242.3 shares
$-150INV $183 ยท WR 86.6%
L
LosingEverything12312312323123Proven
Entry 17ยขยท620 shares
$-29INV $107 ยท WR 73.6%
O
Odysseus7hedged
Entry 296ยขยท32.7 sharesยทalso $13 on NO
$-92INV $97 ยท WR 68.8%
S
studmuffin6969hedged
Entry 37ยขยท243.7 sharesยทalso $184 on NO
$-58INV $91 ยท WR 60.1%
1
12100Khedged
Entry 29ยขยท111.4 sharesยทalso $69 on NO
$-17INV $32 ยท WR 79.4%
Z
Zzzzz13hedged
Entry 70ยขยท33.3 sharesยทalso $9 on NO
$-19INV $23 ยท WR 64.3%
M
Majas
Entry 14ยขยท20 shares
$-0INV $3 ยท WR 71.5%
Showing top 10 of 20

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 37% YES: there be at least 7500 measles casesโ€ฆ