trader-9b779399 · Polymarket wallet 0x9b77…53cd

Wallet snapshot

trader-9b779399 has made 584 trades on Polymarket across 96 markets, $10K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (58%) and economics (8%). On 43 resolved markets the win rate is 69.8%, lifetime P&L +$147. It holds 48 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $965 · 84¢ → 82¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No · $707 · 87¢ → 87¢
• Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No · $257 · 93¢ → 98¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes · $144 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No · $113 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No · $99 · 97¢ → 98¢
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No · $94 · 26¢ → 41¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $90 · 84¢ → 86¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes · $62 · 48¢ → 40¢
• Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No · $58 · 93¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 23, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Yes · +$7 · Oct 22, 2026
• Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes · -$1 · Oct 19, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No · +$3 · Oct 19, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Yes · +$2 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31?Yes · -$4 · Oct 17, 2026
• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.