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Geopolitics22 days left

NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$345.0K
1,546 trades
Smart Whales
49
of 304 traders · 4 on both sides

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

4 MARKETS · $7.95M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

28 YESvs25 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 22 YES vs 22 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$451+25 new NO$24.9K
$449 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$12 of $30.4K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $9.0K·NO $21.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$10.1K
Avg Win Rate
71.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.6K(-65.1%)
Whales
28
I
ivantoney🥇
Entry 21¢·15,472.9 shares
$-2097INV $3.2K · WR 70.0%
D
DonationsReceiver🥈
Entry 19¢·13,251.6 shares
$-1581INV $2.5K · WR 73.4%
A
aenews2Proven🥉
Entry 20¢·11,661.3 shares
$-1516INV $2.3K · WR 74.6%
M
melonmanmhedged
Entry 21¢·2,961.5 shares·also $2.3K on NO
$-421INV $614 · WR 70.1%
M
melchior1248
Entry 27¢·1,600.7 shares
$-328INV $432 · WR 69.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 25¢·989.5 shares
$-175INV $244 · WR 72.0%
U
ulysse222
Entry 21¢·800 shares
$-109INV $165 · WR 56.1%
T
Tenebrus7Proven
Entry 25¢·480.5 shares
$-88INV $119 · WR 74.2%
T
Te0n2
Entry 23¢·500 shares
$-80INV $115 · WR 67.0%
M
MonkeyBrains123
Entry 19¢·500 shares
$-60INV $95 · WR 59.9%
Showing top 10 of 28

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 53% YES: NATO x Russia military clash…