80 days left
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
3Ā¢
3% implied
NO Price
97Ā¢
97% implied
Volume
$288.0K
1,844 trades
Smart Whales
98
of 350 traders Ā· 2 on both sides
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
3 MARKETS Ā· $435.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
29 YESvs71 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars Ā· 11 YES vs 55 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%Ā· net of hedges
+9 new YES$15+3 new NO$2.9K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer ā left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
$17 of $49.5K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $831Ā·NO $48.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$14.6K
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$12.8K(-88.1%)
Whales
29
O
occasionalAwarenessāProvenš„
Entry 88¢·9,363.1 shares
Invested
$8.3K
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-8020
$-8020INV $8.3K Ā· WR 63.1%
P
pantomimeāProvenš„
Entry 108¢·2,909.5 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-3058
$-3058INV $3.1K Ā· WR 73.5%
F
fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafaš„hedged
Entry 58¢·2,082.6 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-1148
$-1148INV $1.2K Ā· WR 57.0%
W
wqujvj
Entry 10¢·4,101 shares
Invested
$416
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-301
$-301INV $416 Ā· WR 61.4%
A
AgricultureSecretaryāProven
Entry 12¢·875.9 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $104 Ā· WR 91.2%
D
DragontreeāProven
Entry 16¢·573.4 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $91 Ā· WR 67.4%
D
Donknuth
Entry 6¢·1,271.4 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $80 Ā· WR 57.8%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 5¢·1,435.9 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $66 Ā· WR 68.2%
Y
Yellowish-District
Entry 13¢·200 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $26 Ā· WR 57.9%
P
ProfessionalPunterāProven
Entry 11¢·191 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $21 Ā· WR 74.6%
Showing top 10 of 29
NO Team
Total Invested
$51.0K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.2K(+14.0%)
Whales
71
D
DropperāProvenš„
Entry 87¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$8.7K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$1040
+$1040INV $8.7K Ā· WR 75.2%
T
touristsš„
Entry 84¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$8.4K
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$1340
+$1340INV $8.4K Ā· WR 73.5%
T
Twin-Cupolaš„
Entry 85¢·9,189.2 shares
Invested
$7.8K
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$1139
+$1139INV $7.8K Ā· WR 74.1%
P
Parz1vaI
Entry 97¢·7,013 shares
Invested
$6.8K
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $6.8K Ā· WR 71.6%
G
grothāProven
Entry 87¢·4,500 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$483
+$483INV $3.9K Ā· WR 65.0%
W
whigāProven
Entry 87¢·2,500 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$260
+$260INV $2.2K Ā· WR 63.1%
N
neetbetsāProven
Entry 75¢·2,309.3 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
+$528
+$528INV $1.7K Ā· WR 78.5%
W
WordleAddictāProven
Entry 80¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$348
+$348INV $1.6K Ā· WR 68.8%
F
fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafahedged
Entry 43¢·2,581.9 shares·also $1.2K on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$1391
+$1391INV $1.1K Ā· WR 57.0%
E
enrico-vasaio
Entry 90¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$900
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $900 Ā· WR 63.2%
Showing top 10 of 71
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