437 days left
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$88.5K
1,020 trades
Smart Whales
42
of 205 traders · 1 on both sides
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
3 MARKETS · $438.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs29 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$72+3 new NO$446
$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$65 of $7.6K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.2K·NO $5.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$7.5K
Avg Win Rate
66.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.3K(-70.7%)
Whales
14
O
occasionalAwareness◆Proven🥇
Entry 80¢·3,812.5 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-2548
$-2548INV $3.1K · WR 63.1%
P
ProfessionalPunter🥈hedged
Entry 56¢·3,941.3 shares·also $708 on NO
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-1683
$-1683INV $2.2K · WR 74.6%
W
wqujvj🥉
Entry 25¢·3,380.7 shares
Invested
$831
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-409
$-409INV $831 · WR 62.5%
B
Burgerflipp
Entry 37¢·1,675.3 shares
Invested
$619
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-410
$-410INV $619 · WR 55.0%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 18¢·2,287.5 shares
Invested
$408
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-99
$-99INV $408 · WR 68.1%
N
Naropoly
Entry 35¢·400 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $140 · WR 77.8%
H
h4xor
Entry 16¢·602 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $94 · WR 64.2%
D
Donknuth
Entry 24¢·325.2 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $78 · WR 57.8%
4
0x4e84ce15...
Entry 22¢·208.8 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $47 · WR 59.6%
B
burakrumhedged
Entry 36¢·89.6 shares·also $109 on NO
Invested
$32
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $32 · WR 67.4%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$11.8K
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.5K(+46.9%)
Whales
29
W
whig◆Proven🥇
Entry 64¢·6,000 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$1350
+$1350INV $3.8K · WR 63.2%
F
fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa🥈
Entry 120¢·3,040.7 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-1013
$-1013INV $3.6K · WR 57.0%
L
lamyk🥉
Entry 35¢·3,342.9 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$1705
+$1705INV $1.2K · WR 57.9%
P
ProfessionalPunterhedged
Entry 19¢·3,652.8 shares·also $2.2K on YES
Invested
$708
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$2451
+$2451INV $708 · WR 74.6%
D
Diligent-Scenario
Entry 87¢·591 shares
Invested
$513
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $513 · WR 81.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 52¢·860 shares
Invested
$447
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$297
+$297INV $447 · WR 72.1%
D
DOJ
Entry 66¢·500 shares
Invested
$330
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $330 · WR 77.3%
E
easierthanmanifold
Entry 73¢·200 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $146 · WR 58.3%
B
burakrumhedged
Entry 65¢·167.3 shares·also $32 on YES
Invested
$109
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $109 · WR 67.4%
N
Nostdam
Entry 64¢·145.2 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $93 · WR 57.8%
Showing top 10 of 29
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