mcduck · Polymarket wallet 0xca62…fbfa

+$66,506 lifetime P&L · 75% win rate · 236 resolved markets · 0xca62d607db80661b987badf01abb499eee5afbfa

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Wallet snapshot

mcduck has made 2,946 trades on Polymarket across 242 markets, $5.4M in volume. Most of it is in politics (52%) and geopolitics (12%). On 236 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$67K. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?". Last trade: Nov 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $4,668 · 71¢ → 93¢
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes · $171 · 88¢ → 7¢
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?Yes · $7 · 0¢ → 0¢
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes · $5 · 1¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$1,290 · Nov 4, 2026
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · +$2,200 · Nov 4, 2026
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$1,469 · Nov 4, 2026
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $0 · Nov 3, 2026
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $0 · Nov 3, 2026
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$300 · Nov 3, 2026
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · -$1,485 · Oct 31, 2026
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · $0 · Oct 27, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes · +$2,830 · Jun 18, 2026
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $0 · Jun 16, 2026

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