802 days left
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?
YES Price
36¢
36% implied
NO Price
64¢
64% implied
Volume
$60.2K
1,279 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 206 traders · 1 on both sides
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
3 MARKETS · $438.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs13 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$32+2 new NO$58
$28 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$20 of $9.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $7.9K·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$9.2K
Avg Win Rate
64.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.7K(-40.5%)
Whales
18
W
wqujvj🥇
Entry 62¢·4,069.8 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-1075
$-1075INV $2.5K · WR 62.5%
F
fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa🥈
Entry 70¢·3,471.7 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-1198
$-1198INV $2.4K · WR 57.0%
H
Hakei.🥉
Entry 72¢·2,962.2 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-1073
$-1073INV $2.1K · WR 71.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·1,720 shares
Invested
$860
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-249
$-249INV $860 · WR 72.1%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 35¢·844.1 shares
Invested
$298
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $298 · WR 68.1%
S
StarMasterhedged
Entry 48¢·576.2 shares·also $174 on NO
Invested
$275
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $275 · WR 55.3%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 50¢·389.4 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $196 · WR 57.3%
P
ProfessionalPunter◆Proven
Entry 39¢·411 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $161 · WR 74.6%
D
Donknuth
Entry 34¢·407.8 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $138 · WR 57.8%
T
tt026hedged
Entry 27¢·236.3 shares·also $59 on NO
Invested
$65
Win Rate
93.5%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $65 · WR 93.5%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.0K(+51.6%)
Whales
13
K
K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE🥇
Entry 50¢·1,158.7 shares
Invested
$575
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$173
+$173INV $575 · WR 58.7%
D
DerDon🥈hedged
Entry 34¢·1,653.4 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$570
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$497
+$497INV $570 · WR 56.4%
H
h038596027355🥉
Entry 70¢·311.7 shares
Invested
$217
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $217 · WR 76.5%
S
StarMasterhedged
Entry 71¢·245 shares·also $275 on YES
Invested
$174
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $174 · WR 55.3%
D
DOJ
Entry 39¢·430 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $167 · WR 77.3%
1
101456
Entry 28¢·408.3 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$149
+$149INV $114 · WR 55.8%
T
tt026hedged
Entry 25¢·236.3 shares·also $65 on YES
Invested
$59
Win Rate
93.5%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $59 · WR 93.5%
E
easierthanmanifold
Entry 38¢·150 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $57 · WR 58.3%
R
reckonerhedged
Entry 62¢·43.4 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$27
Win Rate
91.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 · WR 91.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 67¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 68.0%
Showing top 10 of 13
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