Experienced-Wasting · Polymarket wallet 0xe546…28a6

Wallet snapshot

Experienced-Wasting has made 2,729 trades on Polymarket across 174 markets, $89K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (62%) and geopolitics (26%). On 154 resolved markets the win rate is 63%, lifetime P&L +$1,578. It holds 16 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No · $1,211 · 61¢ → 60¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes · $862 · 39¢ → 43¢
• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No · $255 · 75¢ → 91¢
• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes · $126 · 66¢ → 68¢
• Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes · $53 · 32¢ → 30¢
• Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes · $46 · 87¢ → 90¢
• Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Yes · $44 · 22¢ → 21¢
• Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No · $30 · 24¢ → 10¢
• Jensen Huang divorce in 2026?Yes · $29 · 9¢ → 10¢
• Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes · $23 · 53¢ → 61¢

Latest closed positions

• Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$8 · Nov 9, 2026
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No · +$54 · Nov 7, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · +$286 · Nov 7, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Yes · -$23 · Nov 7, 2026
• Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?Yes · +$4 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes · $0 · Nov 3, 2026
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

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