Geopolitics80 days left
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$58.5K
1,719 trades
Smart Whales
63
of 218 traders
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
19 MARKETS · $152.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
22 YESvs41 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 70% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 56%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$4.9K+9 new NO$4.0K
$870 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.6K is directional: YES $2.5K·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.1K
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$359(+8.8%)
Whales
22
A
adasol🥇
Entry 51¢·1,698.8 shares
Invested
$867
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $867 · WR 66.9%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈hedged
Entry 64¢·1,321.7 shares·also $481 on NO
Invested
$851
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-190
$-190INV $851 · WR 55.3%
M
Minecraftboy22🥉
Entry 50¢·990.4 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $500 · WR 59.0%
G
gambler925
Entry 33¢·1,280.3 shares
Invested
$422
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$219
+$219INV $422 · WR 56.1%
M
MisTKyhedged
Entry 34¢·1,046.4 shares·also $297 on NO
Invested
$351
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $351 · WR 71.3%
P
puravidahedged
Entry 30¢·845.3 shares·also $618 on NO
Invested
$253
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$169
+$169INV $253 · WR 59.9%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 55¢·400 shares
Invested
$220
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $220 · WR 74.2%
K
Konfucious
Entry 50¢·363.1 shares
Invested
$182
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $182 · WR 62.1%
T
Te0n2
Entry 51¢·302.8 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $155 · WR 66.9%
L
LLLLLukee
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
—
—INV $100 · WR 87.1%
Showing top 10 of 22
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$348(+7.8%)
Whales
41
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 52¢·1,804.9 shares
Invested
$934
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $934 · WR 85.9%
P
puravida🥈hedged
Entry 73¢·845.3 shares·also $253 on YES
Invested
$618
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-196
$-196INV $618 · WR 59.9%
N
noib🥉
Entry 58¢·884.2 shares
Invested
$513
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $513 · WR 57.7%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 36¢·1,321.7 shares·also $851 on YES
Invested
$481
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$180
+$180INV $481 · WR 55.3%
M
Monumental-Injustice
Entry 53¢·570.1 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $300 · WR 69.2%
M
MisTKyhedged
Entry 18¢·1,616.5 shares·also $351 on YES
Invested
$297
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$511
+$511INV $297 · WR 71.3%
M
Mst-br
Entry 48¢·370.3 shares
Invested
$177
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $177 · WR 74.5%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 49¢·300 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $147 · WR 64.4%
C
CT-test
Entry 49¢·247.1 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $120 · WR 64.3%
S
StupidMonkeyyy
Entry 80¢·83.9 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $67 · WR 58.7%
Showing top 10 of 41
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