Geopolitics99 days left

Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$1.9K
78 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 38 traders

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs5 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$265+27 new NO$1.7K
$98 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $313 is directional: YES $1·NO $312

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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