Geopolitics53 days left
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
60¢
60% implied
NO Price
40¢
40% implied
Volume
$107.5K
2,020 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 300 traders · 1 on both sides
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
19 MARKETS · $258.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
22 YESvs39 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 80% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 77%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$780+21 new NO$352
$333 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$69 of $8.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $6.6K·NO $1.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$7.1K
Avg Win Rate
59.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+15.4%)
Whales
22
R
Roflan-ludoman🥇hedged
Entry 59¢·4,234.9 shares·also $34 on NO
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $2.5K · WR 60.6%
S
StupidMonkeyyy🥈
Entry 55¢·3,100.1 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $1.7K · WR 59.4%
C
cookedquail🥉
Entry 56¢·2,241.6 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$107
+$107INV $1.2K · WR 56.0%
K
KnightianUncertainty
Entry 50¢·990.4 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$99
+$99INV $500 · WR 56.1%
P
puravidahedged
Entry 30¢·845.3 shares·also $618 on NO
Invested
$253
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$250
+$250INV $253 · WR 59.4%
K
Konfucious
Entry 55¢·287.1 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $158 · WR 63.9%
T
Te0n2
Entry 51¢·302.8 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $155 · WR 67.1%
G
gambler925
Entry 33¢·469.2 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$129
+$129INV $155 · WR 57.1%
A
adasol
Entry 56¢·202.4 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $113 · WR 69.4%
F
ferraracesarehedged
Entry 33¢·310 shares·also $235 on NO
Invested
$101
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $101 · WR 61.7%
Showing top 10 of 22
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.6K
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-23.9%)
Whales
39
P
paddaa🥇
Entry 49¢·4,907.3 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-401
$-401INV $2.4K · WR 61.4%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 76¢·1,071.2 shares
Invested
$818
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-384
$-384INV $818 · WR 86.1%
P
puravida🥉hedged
Entry 73¢·845.3 shares·also $253 on YES
Invested
$618
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-276
$-276INV $618 · WR 59.4%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 43¢·1,174.7 shares
Invested
$502
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $502 · WR 75.3%
T
Toncar16
Entry 47¢·842.1 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $400 · WR 57.0%
M
Monumental-Injustice
Entry 53¢·570.1 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $300 · WR 69.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 57¢·427.5 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $243 · WR 87.6%
F
ferraracesarehedged
Entry 76¢·310 shares·also $101 on YES
Invested
$235
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-109
$-109INV $235 · WR 61.7%
M
Mst-br
Entry 48¢·370.3 shares
Invested
$177
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $177 · WR 77.7%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 49¢·300 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $147 · WR 65.7%
Showing top 10 of 39
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 343ms